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Will Trump Win Indiana By The Same Margin He Did In 2016?

The 2020 election is just one day away, and President Donald Trump is expected to win Indiana.

But Leslie Lenkowsky, professor emeritus of Public Affairs and Philanthropic Studies at Indiana University, said he doesn’t think Trump’s margin will be as high as 2016, when he beat Hillary Clinton by 19 percentage points.

“I’d be very surprised if he didn’t win a majority of the vote but I don’t see him doing as well as he did four years ago,” Lenkowsky said.

Lenkowsky relates this probable decrease in votes to strong headwinds all across the country and the lack of competitive down ballot races that were taking place in the 2016 election.

“Four years ago, people forgot we had some pretty competitive down ballot races going down in the state and that obviously helps with turnout and helped with President Trump as well,” he said.

Overall, he said, “Indiana is a very solid Republican state in presidential elections.”

Lexi Vennetti is a reporting intern for WFIU/WTIU News. She’s originally from Orland Park, Ill. and will graduate from Indiana University with a Bachelors degree in journalism in 2021. Lexi is also a Big Ten Student U Sideline reporter and member of IUSTV News and Sports.